This book is open access under a CC BY iwsra.com book addresses the peculiarities of the current presidential election system not yet addressed in other. Contingent U.S. presidential elections are those in which the Electoral College fails to elect a President and (or) a Vice President, and Congress is to elect either. The “misery index” is a gauge of the health the economy. It also appears to have a remarkable record of predicting who the next US president will be. <
US-Wahl 2020The “misery index” is a gauge of the health the economy. It also appears to have a remarkable record of predicting who the next US president will be. Contingent U.S. presidential elections are those in which the Electoral College fails to elect a President and (or) a Vice President, and Congress is to elect either. FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Despite Trump's offer to increase the size of the next COVID stimulus.
Next Us President Will the US election result be contested? VideoThe next U.S. president: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
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She will be the forerunner for Democrat candidate in Signs that she will run for office are evident as she is already raising money for her campaign.
Same as Sanders she belongs to the left-wing populist. She gained broad support after advocating against gender impropriety. When the allegations of assault against Al Franken became public, Gillibrand was the first to call for his resignation.
She also noted that former president Bill Clinton should have resigned when he was charged with the same. If she gets to be the one to run against Donald Trump the campaign will be super exciting.
When she was elected as the Senator of California Kamala was only the second black woman to be elected to the body. If she runs for office, she will be the youngest candidate from this list.
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Follow Metro. What are Joe Biden's key policies? Sign Up for News Updates. Gubernatorial and legislative elections were also held in several states.
For the subsequent election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the United States Census , and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts.
In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting although some states have redistricting commissions.
Often, a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win elections.
In August , the Democratic National Committee voted to disallow superdelegates from voting on the first ballot of the nominating process, beginning with the election.
This required a candidate to win a majority of pledged delegates from the assorted primary elections in order to win the party's nomination.
After Hillary Clinton 's loss in the previous election, the Democratic Party was seen largely as leaderless,  and was also seen as fractured between the centrist Clinton wing and the more progressive Sanders wing of the party, echoing the rift brought up in the primary election.
House districts that Democrats hoped to gain from the Republican majority had contentious primary elections.
Politico ' s Elena Schneider described these clashes as a "Democratic civil war". Overall, the primary field had 29 major candidates,  breaking the record for the largest field under the modern presidential primary system previously set during the GOP primaries with 17 major candidates.
Entering the Iowa caucuses on February 3, , the field had decreased to 11 major candidates. After Super Tuesday , March 3, Michael Bloomberg and Elizabeth Warren quit the race, leaving three candidates left: Biden and Sanders, the main contenders, and Tulsi Gabbard , who remained in the race despite facing nigh-on insurmountable odds.
When inaugurated, Harris will be the first woman, first African-American, and first Asian-American vice president of the United States, as well as the second person with non-European ancestry after Herbert Hoover 's vice-president Charles Curtis.
She is the third female vice presidential running mate after Geraldine Ferraro in and Sarah Palin in She is the first person representing the Western United States to appear on the Democratic Party presidential ticket.
The following major candidates have either: a served as vice president , a member of the cabinet , a U.
In election cycles with incumbent presidents running for re-election, the race for the party nomination is usually pro-forma , with token opposition instead of any serious challengers and with their party rules being fixed in their favor.
Several Republican state committees scrapped their respective primaries or caucuses,  citing the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H.
Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in and , respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in and , respectively.
The Trump campaign also urged Republican state committees that used proportional methods to award delegates in where a state's delegates are divided proportionally among the candidates based on the vote percentage to switch to a " winner-takes-all " where the winning candidate in a state gets all its delegates or "winner-takes-most" where the winning candidate only wins all of the state's delegates if he exceeds a predetermined amount, otherwise they are divided proportionally for Nevertheless, reports arose beginning in August that members of the Republican Party were preparing a "shadow campaign" against the president, particularly from the party's moderate or establishment wings.
Former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld became Trump's first major challenger in the Republican primaries following an announcement on April 15, Former Illinois representative Joe Walsh launched a primary challenge on August 25, , saying he would not vote for Trump if Trump became the nominee.
Walsh declared that "nobody can beat Trump in a Republican primary" because the Republican Party was now "a cult" of Trump.
Donald Trump's re-election campaign has essentially been ongoing since his victory in , leading pundits to describe his tactic of holding rallies continuously throughout his presidency as a "never-ending campaign".
The following major candidates have either: a held public office, b been included in a minimum of five independent national polls , or c received substantial media coverage.
Jo Jorgensen , who was the running mate of author Harry Browne in , received the Libertarian nomination at the national convention on May 23, Howie Hawkins became the presumptive nominee of the Green Party on June 21, , and was officially nominated by the party on July 11, Various other minor party and independent candidates were on the ballot in several states, among them activist and writer Gloria La Riva ,  businessman and perennial candidate Rocky De La Fuente ,  coal executive Don Blankenship ,  entrepreneur Brock Pierce ,  rapper Kanye West ,  and educator Brian Carroll.
Originally, a three-day convention was planned to be held in North Carolina, but due to North Carolina's insistence that the convention follow COVID social distancing rules, the speeches and celebrations were moved to Jacksonville, Florida official convention business was still contractually obligated to be conducted in Charlotte.
The House of Representatives voted to impeach Trump on two counts on December 18, This is the second time a president has been impeached during his first term while running for a second term.
Several events related to the presidential election were altered or postponed due to the ongoing COVID pandemic in the country and its effects such as the stay-at-home order and social distancing guidelines by local governments.
On March 10, following primary elections in six states, Democratic candidates Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders cancelled planned campaign night events and further in-person campaigning and campaign rallies.
Political analysts speculated at the time that the moratorium on traditional campaigning coupled with the effects of the pandemic on the nation could have unpredictable effects on the voting populace and possibly, how the election will be conducted.
Some presidential primary elections were severely disrupted by COVIDrelated issues, including long lines at polling places, greatly increased requests for absentee ballots, and technology issues.
Most states expanded or encouraged voting by mail as an alternative, but many voters complained that they never received the absentee ballots they had requested.
By May, Trump and his campaign strongly opposed mail-in voting, claiming that it would cause widespread voter fraud, a belief which has been debunked by a number of media organizations.
As a result, the elections, which included a presidential primary, went ahead on April 7 as planned. Voting-rights advocates expressed fear of similar chaos on a nationwide scale in November, recommending states to move to expand vote-by-mail options.
Both the president and first lady immediately entered quarantine, which prevented Trump from further campaigning, notably at campaign rallies.
This led to the concern that Biden may have contracted the virus from Trump; however, Biden tested negative. Trump being diagnosed with COVID was widely seen as having a negative effect on his campaign and shifted the attention of the public back onto COVID, an issue which is generally seen as a liability for Trump, due to his response to the COVID pandemic suffering from low approval ratings.
His rallies have been criticized for their lack of social distancing or mask wearing, and some polls suggest that voters see him less favorably for potentially endangering attendees.
On February 13, , American intelligence officials advised members of the House Intelligence Committee that Russia was interfering in the election in an effort to get Trump re-elected.
Sanders issued a statement after the news report, saying in part, "I don't care, frankly, who Putin wants to be president. My message to Putin is clear: stay out of American elections, and as president, I will make sure that you do.
On October 21, threatening emails were sent to Democrats in at least four states. The emails warned that "You will vote for Trump on Election Day or we will come after you.
He added that both Iran and Russia are known to have obtained American voter registration data, possibly from publicly available information, and that "This data can be used by foreign actors to attempt to communicate false information to registered voters that they hope will cause confusion, sow chaos and undermine your confidence in American democracy.
It was later reported that the reference to Trump had not been in Ratcliffe's prepared remarks as signed off by the other officials on the stage, but that he added it on his own.
Throughout the election period, several Colombian lawmakers and the Colombian ambassador to the United States issued statements supporting the Donald Trump campaign, which has been viewed as potentially harmful to Colombia—United States relations.
Ambassador to Colombia, Philip Goldberg , requested that Colombian politicians abstain from getting involved in the elections. Government officials and American corporate security officers braced for a repeat of 's election infrastructure hacking and similar twenty-first century attacks , and in fact conducted what were characterized as pre-emptive counter-strikes on botnet infrastructure which might be used in large-scale coordination of hacking,  and some incidents earlier in the year appeared to foreshadow such possibilities.
It was quiet. There was no indication or evidence that there was any sort of hacking or compromise of election systems on, before, or after November third.
Responding to spurious claims of foreign outsourcing of vote counting as a rationale behind litigation attempting to stop official vote counting in some areas, Krebs also affirmed that, "All votes in the United States of America are counted in the United States of America.
However, acts of foreign interference did include Russian state-directed application of computational propaganda approaches, more conventional state-sponsored Internet propaganda , smaller-scale disinformation efforts , " information laundering " and " trading up the chain " propaganda tactics employing some government officials, Trump affiliates, and US media outlets.
During the campaign, Trump indicated in Twitter posts , interviews, and speeches that he might refuse to recognize the outcome of the election if he was defeated; Trump falsely suggested that the election would be rigged against him.
While the logistics of Ye getting on enough state ballots to stand any chance of winning the presidency is basically zilch, people were still betting on him in July.
By mid-August, however, West was taken off the board at most sportsbooks. Most election wagers are moneyline bets, otherwise known as a straight bet.
This means that the implied odds gave Trump a 0. Polling data is fluid and changes over the course of an election period.
In the early stages like now May , candidates with the most name recognition tend to poll the strongest. As lower tier candidates who have difficulty fund-raising drop out of the race, and TV debates start crystallizing or galvanizing voter opinion, the numbers begin to consolidate around one-to-two front-runners heading into the primaries.
President Donald Trump is the only Republican of note running. Biden chose California Sen. Kamala Harris as his running-mate in August.
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